2026 NCAA Tournament

Championship Odds

Top 12 contenders by prediction market win probability

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Favorite

Duke

East Region, 1 Seed

22%+450

Michigan

South Region, 2 Seed

19%+500

Florida

South Region, 1 Seed

15%+600

4

Auburn

Midwest, 1 Seed

13%

+700

5

Houston

West, 1 Seed

11%

+800

6

Alabama

East, 3 Seed

8%

+1200

7

Iowa State

Midwest, 2 Seed

7%

+1400

8

Tennessee

West, 3 Seed

6%

+1600

9

Texas Tech

Midwest, 4 Seed

5%

+2000

10

Gonzaga

West, 3 Seed

4%

+2200

11

St. John's

East, 2 Seed

4%

+2500

12

Michigan St

East, 2 Seed

3%

+2800

Contenders by Region

East

37%

Champion from here

Duke1 Seed

22%

Alabama3 Seed

8%

St. John's2 Seed

4%

Michigan St2 Seed

3%

West

21%

Champion from here

Houston1 Seed

11%

Tennessee3 Seed

6%

Gonzaga3 Seed

4%

South

34%

Champion from here

Michigan2 Seed

19%

Florida1 Seed

15%

Midwest

25%

Champion from here

Auburn1 Seed

13%

Iowa State2 Seed

7%

Texas Tech4 Seed

5%

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Odds via prediction markets as of March 2026